Here are my unedited, rough notes for Week 14. Hope it helps!

  • The tests have come back and it appears that Carson Wentz did in fact tear his ACL. This really sucks. He was having an MVP season, he was having an incredible game. Already threw for 4 TDs before heading to the locker room. Sucks for Eagles fans – I know that this felt like your year.. it all changes in an instant.
    • If Wentz was your QB, at least he was killing it for you and providing consistency every single week until now and you got a great game out of him yesterday. Now you’re obviously going to have to find another QB so take a look at those matchups coming up. Blake Bortles might be someone you want to seriously consider, and I say him because he is widely available and he has two great matchups over the next two weeks, one at home against Houston, and the other in SF.
    • This is obviously a downgrade for probably everyone in the offense. But you never know, someone can take a step forward. Zach Ertz was someone you were depending on, but who knows how his usage will change. Alshon Jeffery wasn’t getting a huge target share, but was pretty efficient. It’s possible he gets a higher target share, but we just don’t know how Nick Foles is going to operate this offense.
  • Josh McCown broke his left non-throwing hand yesterday. He is going to get surgery, which would end his season. Bryce Petty is the backup, so I don’t think Robby Anderson becomes unusable. Anderson had a huge target share with Petty late last year. The matchups coming up aren’t that great though, they have New Orleans in Week 15, which is not that bad, but they have the Chargers in Week 16, and Casey Hayward will probably shadow Robby. The Jets couldn’t get anything going in this game yesterday, and we could kinda see it coming with their playmakers being locked up against touch corners. Surprised ASJ only had 1 target.
  • Sucks if you lost Alvin Kamara in the 1st quarter on Thursday night. If you made it past the first round or had a bye, Kamara should be able to make it through the concussion protocol since they had some extra time.
  • I really want to start out by saying that all of the guys a lot of us were having a hard time trusting did well or at least scored this week: Kareem Hunt, Jordan Howard, Devonta Freeman, Doug Martin scored, Vernon Davis scored. Talk about a return to the mean, but for it to happen all in the same week is amazing.
    • Jordan Howard saw his first game with more than 15 carries since Week 8. He saw 23 carries for 147 yards and 2 TDs. These are the games Howard can have, but he disappoints us most weeks. We just don’t know when he’s going to get that type of volume, and in Cincinnati? That didn’t seem like a likely scenario, but the Bengals were pretty beat up on D, but hard to see that coming. Howard is an easy start against the Lions next week, because they’ve just been so bad. Even if Howard gets like 15 carries against them like he did in Week 11, he should be able to produce. But you just never know with him. I still rather have a 3-down back in there to avoid that dud game.
    • Kareem Hunt finally saw some 28 touches in this game. Last week he had 12, the week before he had 14, 21 the week before, 13 the week before that. He was very hard to trust this week, but this was that week where all these guys came through. 25 carries in this game and finally scored that long awaited TD; his first since Week 3.
    • Now the question is can we trust these guys going forward? It’s really a matter of personal preference and your other options. I personally rather go with more consistent options, I like to minimize risk in the playoffs, and go with guys who are involved on all 3 downs if I have that luxury. But with the possibility of getting volume, we can put them in our lineups and really just hope at this point.
  • It’s interesting to see CJ Anderson getting the bulk of the work last week. There was a report last week that said Devontae Booker had the flu, so he didn’t see much playing time, but does he still have the flu? Because CJ Anderson got 24 touches to Booker’s 11, out-snapped him 41-27. Charles only saw 5 snaps. We can’t necessarily depend on CJ Anderson and this snap share staying the same going forward, but if you really need an option that has a chance to get volume, Anderson is an option next week against Indy, and then the Redskins the week after that. He wasn’t that great yesterday, but we’ve seen better games from Anderson this year when he was given volume.
  • That Colts Bills game was awesome. Playing in the snow like that has to be fun. You can’t do what you want to do on offense, but these were two bad teams going at it in a blizzard. Frank Gore had 36 carries and LeSean McCoy had 32. I hope you didn’t start anyone else. FWIW, Kelvin Benjamin did see 8 targets, even caught a TD, but re-aggravated his knee in the 4th quarter. One thing to keep in mind is that Gore is 34 years old and saw 36 carries. The Colts play on Thursday, so I would expect Marlon Mack to carry a lot more of the load on a short week after Gore had that ridiculous workload.
  • Good to see that Gio Bernard produced, seeing 130 yards from scrimmage, involved in both the run and pass game, so even with the game script getting out of hand, he saw 8 targets, caught 6 of them and produced 68 yards through the air. This is probably it for him, though, as Mixon should be back next week.
  • Targets were split in Cleveland between Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman. Both saw 6 targets, both caught a TD. Gordon went 3 for 69 with a TD and Coleman went 5 for 62 with a TD. With neither seeing the majority of target share in this game, it seems like this situation is murkier than we thought. Gordon was the obvious choice after getting a huge target share last week, but it seems like both talents will be used, and both of their upsides are capped a bit because of it. Gordon obviously has the higher upside at this point, but if he’s not going to see 10+ targets, we have to temper our expectations a bit going forward.
  • Davante Adams is legit. What he’s doing with Aaron Rodgers shows that he’s actually a good WR and not someone just producing because of Aaron Rodgers. The game tying TD and then the game winning TD.. he’s been more consistent with Brett Hundley than with Rodgers!
  • It’s the Jamaal Williams show in Green Bay right now – 22 touches yesterday. With Aaron Rodgers potentially back next week, his value can go up a bit. It’s possible Aaron Jones starts getting in the action as  one of Rodgers’ pass-catchers, but Williams played on 52 snaps compared to Aaron Jones. I think it’s safe to say that Jamaal Williams is the guy right now. Coming into this game, with Aaron Jones becoming atop the depth chart and beat reporters expecting Jones to be more integrated into the offense, we thought that it might be more of a split, but nope.
  • I can’t explain the giant shit the Raiders took in Kansas City. They couldn’t get anything going the entire game, had some garbage time stuff but 13 targets to Michael Crabtree, only caught 7 of them for 60 yards. Derek Carr was playing awful. The Chiefs didn’t have their best corner in Marcus Peters, and with that defense being so terrible right now, for the Raiders to not do anything against them is incredible. Don’t know what else to say. Hopefully they can bounce back next week at home against Dallas.
  • Rod Smith had a great game, but we’ve seen in two games in a row that he comes in during garbage time, and when Alfred Morris has had enough touches. I wouldn’t get too hung up on Smith’s performance as we know that Morris is more of the bellcow assuming we think the Cowboys are the favorites in a game. The split ended up being pretty even with Morris out-snapping Smith 33-29. I wouldn’t chase this outcome though, especially with Zeke coming back in Week 16. He’s still in flex consideration next week since he does the field and the Raiders suck.
  • Very disappointing outing from Sterling Shepard. I was all over him this week as someone to play, but he only saw 4 targets the entire game. He played on almost 100% of snaps, so he wasn’t even limited. Don’t understand this at all, as he’s clearly the best receiver on the team and has been averaging double digit targets with Eli. Not sure how to treat Shepard going forward, maybe he was acting like a decoy? It’s definitely strange.
  • Doug Martin started the game for the Bucs, but carried the ball 10 times for 28 yards. Another horrible game.. he did have a TD though. Dirk Koetter said he wasn’t a fan of guys losing their job due to injury, but then Martin fumbled in the 2nd quarter, and in comes Peyton Barber for the rest of the game. Looks like Martin is now eligible to meet Dirk Koetter’s guidelines of losing a starting job because he actually played in this game. Peyton Barber looked good again, and it seems like Barber now has this job. It looks like they were waiting for Martin to do something like that so that they have something to point to. If he’s available in your league, he is definitely worth a pickup and very startable next week at home against Atlanta. We’ve seen that the Bucs never go away from the run despite game script, so he’s somewhat safe.
  • Theo Riddick had a big day without Ameer Abdullah, and played on 48 snaps, which was a jump in percentage from last week – 62% to 71%. He saw 10 targets in this game, and combined for 16 touches. He is not a good between the tackles running backs, but he saw some work in the red zone that allowed him to get into the end zone.
  • Jonathan Stewart had 100 yards, 3 TDs against the Vikings. I’m sure we all saw this one coming. But check this out. Stewart has at least 1 TD in the last 3 games, so that’s 5, and then before the bye he had 110 yards on 17 carries. I think he’s a guy you should think about if you’re desperate at RB. He’s at home the next 2 weeks against Green Bay and Tampa Bay. He’s definitely going to be TD dependent in most games, because it’s these fluky long TD runs that is giving him yardage, but his stat line is usually like 13 for 44, and if you don’t get that TD, you’re hurting.
  • Marquise Goodwin had another good game with Jimmy Garropolo.. saw 12 targets in this game and went over 100 yards. I’m going to continue to have confidence in him next week against Tennessee. One thing to note is that Carlos Hyde doesn’t seem to be getting those dump offs anymore from Garoppolo that he was getting from CJ Beathard.
  • DeAndre Hopkins is QB proof… as long as your name isn’t Brock Osweiler. Tom Savage had seizures on the field after a big hit, left the game, and they let him back in the game. Seriously? Anyway, when they finally took him back out of the game, TJ Yates came in and threw 2 TDs to Hopkins. Dude is too good. Is it weird that I’m confident in him against Jacksonville next week?
  • I really don’t know how the Titans are 8-5. Their offense is terrible, and I’m staying away from every single player outside of Delanie Walker. The backfield is a complete split in touches, even with DeMarco Murray playing 47 snaps to Derrick Henry’s 13.
  • So it looks like Ajayi has now become the guy in the Eagles backfield. Game script was an issue last week, so we couldn’t buy it for sure, but Ajayi had 16 touches in this game, and ran pretty well. Ajayi led the Eagles in snaps (43), then came Clement (27), followed by Blount (15). We wanted this to happen in this high powered offense, but now that Wentz is out, it probably won’t be as high powered.
  • Sammy Watkins has now caught a TD in 5 of his last 6 games – 3 in a row now. Robert Woods should be back next week, so temper your expectations going forward. It does seem like they like going to him in the red zone though.
  • Cooper Kupp played really well against Patrick Robinson, who’s been playing very well this season. Robinson couldn’t deal with Kupp after the catch, and he broke a few tackles and got some big gains.
  • Mike Davis was running really well against the Jaguars. There was a point where he ran for 3 first downs in a row, which was kind of crazy. He did injure his ribs in the 4th quarter, not expected to be serious, but we heard that before. Stay tuned.
  • A guy that’s looking really good right now is Dede Westbrook. He’s averaging 9 targets and 6 catches over the last 3 games, so he’s pretty reliable right now. Houston and San Francisco next week sound like juicy matchups, but just keep in mind that if those teams can’t put up points on the Jags, it’s possible they just run the ball down their throats.
  • A guy who were all worried about was Doug Baldwin, and it didn’t start out well. He had zero in the first half, but he came through for everyone who had the guts to start him against Jalen Ramsey; he ended with 3 catches for 78 yards and a TD.
  • Big Ben continues to kill it at home. He threw the damn ball 66 times, completed it 44 times. Threw for 506 yards and 2 TDs. This offense is hard to stop at home, but what really surprised me was the Ravens being the ones scoring and taking the lead in this game. I’m okay playing Ben at home against the Patriots next week. Should be a good one.
  • The Ravens had a positive game script throughout the game, which was surprising, so Alex Collins was able to stay relevant throughout the game. He had 18 carries for 120 yards and a TD. Ended up with 20 touches, this dude is legit. I personally stayed off of him this week because I expected the Steelers to go up big and have Buck Allen and Danny Woodhead doing most of the work in the passing game. Collins only played 5 more snaps than Woodhead, and Buck Allen vultured 2 TDs on 2 of his 13 snaps, so Collins could’ve had an even bigger day.
  • Kenyan Drake is the truth. He had his second straight week as a workhorse, totaling 30 touches for 193 yards against the Patriots. Drake has been great since Jay Ajayi was traded, and has to have won this job for the Dolphins, even when Damien Williams gets back. Drake hasn’t been a workhorse in college or high school, but played every single RB snap in the first half of this game. He’s a 3-down back, is running great, and is heavily involved in the passing game. He’s looking like a guy who’s hard to bench right now.