Lockett has put in very similar seasons in his first three years – averaging around 45 receptions and 600 yards. He had the ability to take a step forward this past season, but apparent injuries and Paul Richardson’s knack for getting open has gotten in the way – he ranked in the top 10 in yards per reception. Both Lockett and Richardson were playmakers who fit perfectly with Russell Wilson’s style of rolling out and taking advantage of a broken down defense. With Richardson leaving to the Redskins via free agency, Lockett has an opportunity to become the true #2 behind Doug Baldwin.
Brandon Marshall did sign with the Seahawks, but Marshall is more of a possession receiver at this point in his career, so I picture him as a Jimmy Graham replacement. I expect the Seahawks to target Marshall around the goal line like they did with Graham last season, but I don’t expect guys like Marshall to find open spaces after plays break down and be as dynamic as guys like Lockett and Baldwin.
What kind of target share should we expect for Lockett? Graham had 98 targets last season, but do we expect Marshall to get that many? I don’t, but let’s give him the 98. The RBs will get theirs, but Richardson’s 80 targets will be up for grabs. I’m not going to add that to Lockett’s 71, but you can see that both Baldwin and Lockett should benefit. If Lockett bumps his number up to 100, you’re getting a steal in the 13th round for a talent who could break out. Remember, he’s the only other guy besides Lockett who has a rapport with Wilson.
Will you be targeting Lockett? Or would you rather grab one of these WRs around his ADP – Geronimo Allison, Martavis Bryant, Kenny Golladay, Josh Doctson, Michael Gallup, Dede Westbrook. I can see myself taking Westbrook in PPR, but in my eye will probably be on Lockett at this point of the draft if these are the guys on the board. Let me know what you would do!