Gus Edwards led the backfield with 17 carries for 115 yards and 1 TD, averaging 6.8 yards per carry. Alex Collins only had 7 carries for 18 yards with a 2.6 YPC, while Buck Allen only touched the ball once. It looks like someone impressed during the bye, which led to an opportunity after Collins failed to create on his few carries. The snap share was heavily in Edwards favor, with him on the field for 62% of snaps, while Collins only saw 22.4%. I mean, Collins is a good back, and this was a good matchup, but the undrafted rookie had a better game than Collins has had all year. Wish we could see it coming, but Edwards had only one touch in his game before the bye in Week 9. Either way, with one of the best upcoming schedules for RBs, he should be picked up, although it’s possible the backfield becomes a bit annoying to deal with. The upside is there though.
Peyton Barber had some real volume this past Sunday – 18 for 106 and a TD (20 touches overall), even though the Giants were up for the entirety of it. There’s a good chance he gets volume next week against San Francisco as well, so if he’s available, he should be a good play.
With Kerryon Johnson most likely missing the Thanksgiving game against the Bears with a knee sprain, Theo Riddick should see extra opportunity at home. Because it’s at home and not in Chicago, he’s more playable. I would much rather play him in a full PPR league since he’ll be used for his pass-catching strengths when on the field. I would expect a 6-8 catch floor, and maybe he’ll see a red zone target or two with Marvin Jones out as well. I’m not interested in LeGarrette Blount because of all the RBs the Lions have used last week outside of the Riddick role.
In what turned out to be a terrible game for the Eagles, Josh Adams led the backfield in carries with 7, with Corey Clement coming next with a distant 2. Adams had 53 yards on those 7 carries and a long TD for Philly’s only score. He’s a guy who should be picked up with Lane Johnson back, and with the Giants on deck next week. We can actually see someone get volume in the run game next week, and that will probably be Adams, who’s clearly been Philly’s best back. He’s averaging 7 yards per carry over the last 3 games. He played on 55% of snaps, even with Philly down all game, which means they’re okay with him involved in the pass game; he had 6 targets in addition to his 7 carries. Clement saw 27% of snaps, while Smallwood played on only 8%. This is Adams’ job to lose.
If you’re in a full PPR league, you probably realized that Richard has had 10+ points in 7 of 10 games, including 5 of the last 6. He does have a tough matchup this week against the Ravens, but he might see extra opportunity with Doug Martin banged up with an ankle injury, and also because Jon Gruden said it wasn’t the only reason why Martin didn’t play. There’s a point in the 4th quarter in every Raiders game where it’s just Richard on the field catching a few balls in garbage time, and I would expect that once again this week.
Would love Mcguire’s touches to go up just a bit, but if he can play the Bilal Powell role a little better than Powell, we can see him have a big game or two the rest of the way. He’s only had 6 carries in this first two games this season, but the 6 targets he’s had in each game is very encouraging for some PPR value. The Patriots aren’t the best run defense, and we can imagine the Jets will be behind – that will be McGuire time. He can provide a decent 10-point floor for you this week with some upside.
It’s possible Thompson plays this week, but in a full PPR league, he’s probably worth scooping back up for the stretch run. He can provide depth, but is also very startable in full PPR when healthy. He’s working with trainers now, and warmed up before the game this past Sunday even though he was declared out. There aren’t too many high upside players you can pick up at RB, and he might be able to help you.
High-end Handcuffs: Spencer Ware, Malcolm Brown, Jaylen Samuels, Jamaal Williams, Latavius Murray, Gio Bernard
Keke Coutee played less snaps than both DeAndre Hopkins and Demaryius Thomas, but ended up leading the team with a 39% target share. That’s obviously an inflated number as Hopkins only had 6 targets with Norman shadowing him, so that should bounce back… but what’s very noticeable is the fact that DT only had 0 catches on 1 target. He hasn’t had much success over the last 7 quarters; there were plays designed to get him the ball on that first drive of his first game with the Texans, but to get only 1 target after a bye tells you all you need to know. With Keke healthy, DT can be dropped if necessary. As far as Keke goes, his 5/9/77 game is encouraging moving forward on this offense, and we can probably treat him as a WR3.
The Rams play 3-WR sets more than any other team, their WRs are a big part of what they do, and we saw that on Monday night. Reynolds caught 6 of 8 targets for 80 yards and a TD, and his foot was 1 inch away from another TD. Now that Cooper Kupp is out for the season, Reynolds isn’t just a “wait until Kupp is back” for the Rams this time around; they have a vested interest in making sure Reynolds is involved since he’s a part of their anticipated Super Bowl run. He caught 2 TDs in his last game without Kupp as well, so he can probably help you the rest of the way… although you’ll have to wait until Week 13 since he’s on a bye this week. Just keep in mind that you might not see the same type of target volume you saw on Monday night, as all numbers in the pass game were a bit inflated.
Schedule is there, upside is there, but consistency isn’t. There are way too many weapons in this Carolina offense for you to depend on Moore. But you can throw him in your flex as long as you’re okay with his low floor for the upside that he presents.
Lower floor than DJ Moore, but high floor is there. He’s more likely to receive less targets on a per game basis than Moore, and you can read more about my feelings on Smith’s future on an Instagram post here. The gist is that he won’t be seeing this type of target number in the future, especially when you consider that Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara only combined for 5 targets in this past game against the Eagles. If you need some upside on your team though, he definitely presents it, especially when the Saints are at home.
Sutton hasn’t broken out yet, but he’s had a safe floor in PPR all season long. His target share hasn’t necessarily increased, but his upside is there as well… we just haven’t seen it yet.
Miller caught a TD in 4 of his last 6 games, and Detroit has had struggles against slot WRs. We should see his target volume go back up to the 6.5 he’s been averaging over the four weeks prior to last; it’s just that Taylor Gabriel saw 9 targets all of a sudden. He has a favorable schedule coming up, so he’s a good WR to have on your bench if you think you can use him at some point.
Sanu has had three decent games in a row against three teams who have been defending slot WRs pretty well. The Saints defense has really stepped up lately, but the Falcons have weapons that don’t compare to the Eagles or AJ Green-less Bengals. The Saints vulnerability this season was the slot, and Sanu can provide a good game for you if you need a WR for this week.
Snead has had a safe floor of around 10 points all year long, and even came through with it last week with Lamar Jackson. He has a pretty good schedule the rest of the way for slot WRs.
Tampa Bay is terrible on defense, and this is a game where Goodwin can beat them. 4 of 5 targets for 69 yards last week is nice usage, and against the Bucs it can be even better.
If Brock Osweiler is the QB this week, Amendola is playable again in PPR. He’s averaging 8 targets and 14.5 PPR points over the last 5 games with Osweiler… not much more needs to be said. There is a possibility that Ryan Tannehill returns this week, and if he does, I would be off of Amendola.
Ellington caught 6 of 9 targets for 52 yards this past week out of the slot, so he’s a potential fill-in for Golden Tate. If that’s the case, he’s playable in PPR formats moving forward.
No word on whether Marcus Mariota will play, but it looks like he will. Smith caught 6 of 8 targets for 44 yards this past week, and caught a TD in each of the two weeks prior.
Jeff caught 4 of 5 targets last week, 10 of 11 the week before. Healthy targets for a TE who is top-5 in red zone targets for TEs.
If OJ Howard is out, Brate is a good play and has upside with Jameis Winston back.
McDonald caught a TD in each of the last two weeks, and him being on a good offense puts you in a good position most weeks.
Herndon has been productive over his last several games, and it didn’t drop off too much with Josh McCown behind center. The Jets will need to throw the ball in this game, and it wouldn’t be a bad idea to stream a guy who’s been the most consistent passing option on that offense.