Mark Ingram’s contract is up this year, and it’s very possible the Saints don’t re-sign him. Wherever he lands, he will likely be a fantasy asset as a back who can handle work in both the run and pass game. As far as the Saints go, will Alvin Kamara get the 82% of snaps he got when Mark Ingram was suspended for the first four games of 2018?
Once Ingram returned, Kamara saw his snaps split in half in that first game against Washington, and he was basically rested with Ingram out-touching him 18-9. One could make the argument that Sean Payton, who has historically used the RB by committee approach, was fine using Kamara as the workhorse only because he knew it would only be for four games.
Kamara saw an obvious dip in production after his stellar first quarter of the season, averaging 4 less receptions on 6 less targets, 50 less receiving yards, and 0.43 less rushing TDs per game once Ingram returned to the lineup.
Kamara’s touches were given to a good RB, so unless there’s a legit asset added to that backfield, I would expect Kamara’s touches to be above the 16.7 he saw on a per game basis after Week 4. If Ingram isn’t retained, we should expect a veteran signing as well as some draft capital being spent on the position if Payton’s RBBC history is any indication.
Either way, Kamara’s use in the pass game will remain constant; we can probably be confident at this point in the offseason that he’ll be worth a first round pick next year in PPR leagues. Ingram’s usage in the pass game dropped heavily from last year; he didn’t see more than 3 targets in any game this year, which is unlike him. He averaged 3.6 receptions on 4.4 targets per game in 2017, and only 1.8 receptions and 2.3 targets per game in 2018. Because of that, I wouldn’t expect any future Kamara-complement to take any of that receiving work away from him.