Not who, but what are you looking for? I think when you look at it that way, it might help you narrow it down in a way that you haven’t thought about. You can look at stats, but there’s more to it. Here’s a look at my process and what I’m looking for in my first pick:
- Safety – Least risk possible
- Reliability – Can I rely on them and their role to carry my team?
- Upside – Can they win me weeks?
- Consistency – Least amount of duds possible. Give me a very high floor every week
I probably want a RB, mostly because of the combination:
- Position scarcity
- High floor
- Highest chance of consistent upside
The RBs I’m looking for with my first pick have the following attributes:
- 3-down workhorse: involved in passing game, and doesn’t come off the field for those situations
- Goal line back
- Good offense
- Related to #1, but will play a high percentage of snaps – 70%+, 80%+ is elite
Guys who fit that mold:
- Todd Gurley
- Christian McCaffrey*
- Ezekiel Elliott
- Melvin Gordon
- James Conner
- Saquon Barkley*
*offense can be a concern
And if any RBs 2nd round or later have these attributes at a next-tier type of level, I’m aiming for them too.
Remaining 3-down backs:
- Le’Veon Bell – would assume he’ll land in a workhorse role, but offense is TBD
- Alvin Kamara – a lot rides on whether Ingram stays or leaves, but Payton can still have a guy share the load with Kamara if it’s for a full season. Either way, Kamara is an anomaly that is worth the risk of a lesser workload.
- Joe Mixon – new coach might change things; he gets enough passing work to be happy, but Gio limits his upside
- Dalvin Cook – offensive line needs to be improved upon before trusting him. Injury issues make him risky as well.
- David Johnson – offense can’t get worse, aerial attack should play to his strengths. Will be value after down year.
- Jerick McKinnon – injury history is definitely worrisome, and will play on all three downs, but not every down. He’ll likely have someone being his 1b.
- Damien Williams – as of right now, he’s KC’s guy. Keep an eye out for additions to the backfield.
- Leonard Fournette – With TJ Yeldon becoming a FA, Fournette might have more work in passing situations