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Not who, but what are you looking for? I think when you look at it that way, it might help you narrow it down in a way that you haven’t thought about. You can look at stats, but there’s more to it. Here’s a look at my process and what I’m looking for in my first pick:

  1. Safety – Least risk possible
  2. Reliability – Can I rely on them and their role to carry my team?
  3. Upside – Can they win me weeks?
  4. Consistency – Least amount of duds possible. Give me a very high floor every week

I probably want a RB, mostly because of the combination:

  1. Position scarcity
  2. High floor
  3. Highest chance of consistent upside

The RBs I’m looking for with my first pick have the following attributes:

  1. 3-down workhorse: involved in passing game, and doesn’t come off the field for those situations
  2. Goal line back
  3. Good offense
  4. Related to #1, but will play a high percentage of snaps – 70%+, 80%+ is elite

Guys who fit that mold:

  1. Todd Gurley
  2. Christian McCaffrey*
  3. Ezekiel Elliott
  4. Melvin Gordon
  5. James Conner
  6. Saquon Barkley*

*offense can be a concern

And if any RBs 2nd round or later have these attributes at a next-tier type of level, I’m aiming for them too.

Remaining 3-down backs:

  1. Le’Veon Bell – would assume he’ll land in a workhorse role, but offense is TBD
  2. Alvin Kamara – a lot rides on whether Ingram stays or leaves, but Payton can still have a guy share the load with Kamara if it’s for a full season. Either way, Kamara is an anomaly that is worth the risk of a lesser workload.
  3. Joe Mixon – new coach might change things; he gets enough passing work to be happy, but Gio limits his upside
  4. Dalvin Cook – offensive line needs to be improved upon before trusting him. Injury issues make him risky as well.
  5. David Johnson – offense can’t get worse, aerial attack should play to his strengths. Will be value after down year.
  6. Jerick McKinnon – injury history is definitely worrisome, and will play on all three downs, but not every down. He’ll likely have someone being his 1b.
  7. Damien Williams – as of right now, he’s KC’s guy. Keep an eye out for additions to the backfield.
  8. Leonard Fournette – With TJ Yeldon becoming a FA, Fournette might have more work in passing situations