Whether Murray succeeds in the NFL or not, I’m not sure there’s much doubt that he would fit Kliff Kingsbury’s offense pretty well, and it seems like Kingsbury agrees based on what he’s said in the past and reports of Rosen potentially being dealt. And from a fantasy perspective, this offense just became a lot more enticing.
A mobile QB in a spread offense is going to help open lanes for David Johnson. Not only will teams be in nickel and dime a ton, but they might have to reserve a spy at the LB position. According to Graham Barfield, Texas Tech RBs were 10th in CFB in receptions per game in Kingsbury’s last three seasons. They also targeted a RB out of the backfield on 8.1% of plays on 1st down and 8% of plays of all early down plays, which was 6th and 5th in the FBS, respectively. Murray has been more accurate in his junior year than Rosen has in his on passes within 10 yards. With a subpar offensive line, DJ should be involved plenty in the pass game.
On attempts going longer than 20+ yards in his junior year, Murray has had 60% accuracy compared to Rosen’s 33%, even with Murray attempting 60 of them compared to Rosen’s 39. Rosen had a terrible offensive line last year, but according to PFF, still finished 27th in adjusted completion percentage and was 2nd to last in passer rating when he had a clean pocket. He was dead last in deep pass accuracy of any QB with at least 350 dropbacks in a clean pocket. We would have to think that can improve with Murray behind center, with both Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk benefitting. They also drafted two great WR prospects in Andy Isabella and Hakeem Butler, so there is some serious firepower in this passing offense going forward.
Do you think the Cardinals can make a huge turnaround and end up as a top-10 offense in 2019, or do you think their offensive line will slow that down?