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With Doug Baldwin’s health in question once again, Tyler Lockett has a good chance of being Russell Wilson’s favorite target at WR in 2019… although being the favorite might not equate to a ton of targets.

Mike Clay pointed out that Lockett has had between 64 and 69 targets over the last four years, but had 965 yards and 10 TDs this past year, while his next best was 664 yards and 6 TDs… on only 6 less targets.

That right there is efficient af. He drew a perfect 158.3 passer rating when targeted, and caught a TD on every 5.7 catches.

He finished as a high end WR2 last year, but can you depend on a guy getting a target number in the 60s for the year? The Seahawks were ridiculously run heavy last year, ranking only behind a Ravens team who had the QB play as a RB, averaging only one less rushing attempt per game.

Now it is possible that Brian Schottenheimer realizes that he was a bit too run heavy and they can adjust, but we shouldn’t expect it to be by a ton, because they did win games with that formula last year.

Lockett is currently going in the middle of the 6th round, and at the end of the 6th in standard for some reason where he’s even more valuable, according to Fantasy Football Calculator. His price is somewhat appropriate, but I’m not sure we can expect a bump up in production. We shouldn’t chase uber efficiency when we don’t expect a sizable increase in opportunity.

Are you investing in Lockett? Is his price a tad high for you, or just right? Do you expect things to change in Seattle from a play calling perspective? Let me know!! 👇👇