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Targets in those 3 games:

  1. Diggs – 23
  2. Rudolph – 18
  3. Thielen – 12

Before John DeFilippo was fired, Kirk Cousins was attempting 40 passes per game – the most in the league through those 14 Weeks. In the last three weeks under new OC Kevin Stefanski, that number went down to 27.3. Kirk became more efficient and played to his strengths, but it meant less volume for Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs.

Over those last three games after the change, Diggs caught a TD in each one, but averaged only 7.7 targets compared to the 10.5 he had previously. Thielen averaged 10.8 targets over the first fourteen, and averaged only 4 targets over the last three. Those who had him in the fantasy playoffs couldn’t have been happy about that.

I obviously wouldn’t expect Thielen to go into next year averaging 4 targets per game, but it’s obvious that the volume will go down significantly for the pass game overall, and that overall volume might not be enough to sustain Diggs and Thielen at the almost record-breaking year they had as a duo. They both had a great year, but that production can’t blind us from the change in offensive tendencies, especially when it also lines up with Mike Zimmer’s philosophies.

With Thielen being drafted a full round ahead of Diggs (2-3 turn compared to 3-4 turn), would you agree that Diggs is probably the better pick in 2019? Are you still riding with Thielen? Avoiding both at their price? Let me know 👇👇