- If you’re allowed to drop guys who were on your bench yesterday, and there’s a guy you’re probably going to drop anyway to pick up someone on waivers, pick up Darren Waller, Tyrell Williams if your league also allows you to pick up players who haven’t played yet. You can do this with Yahoo default settings. This is just to see how it plays out tonight, these guys might be big draws on the waiver wire, and you can avoid that if they’re already on your roster. If not, just drop them and pick up whoever you were gonna pick up on waivers anyway. Noah Fant, Kenny Stills are a couple of other guys that fit that category.
- RB split
- Gurley – 15 touches – totaled 101 yards, 70.8% of snaps
- Malcolm Brown – 11 carries. 2 goal line carries, 26.4% of snaps. Was their goal line back – confirm.
- Darrell Henderson had 1 touch. He’s a non-factor at this point
- This is going to be a committee between Gurley and Brown
- Brown was out-touching Gurley early into the 4th quarter, and then Gurley ended up out-touching Brown
- Goal line? Watch red zone work. Apparently Brown got a whole red zone series.
- McCaffrey – 29 touches. 100% of snaps once again.
- DJ Moore won Week 1 against Curtis Samuel. 7 for 76 on 10 targets. Samuel 3 for 32 on 4 targets – he’s the one who mostly saw Aqib Talib, so don’t overreact to this.
- Derrick Henry had a great game – 20 touches altogether. His 1 catch went for 75 yards and a TD. Game script was definitely on his side this week, and we’ll see if they are truly committing to him as their guy. Henry always had RB1 potential, and if the Titans can continue to play good defense, even with the lack of involvement in the passing game, Henry can put up big numbers.
- Delanie Walker led the Titans in targets. Caught 5 of 6 for 55 yards and 2 TDs. Mariota looked good, he’s so up and down, you never know, but when he’s healthy Delanie is a thing, especially in the red zone.
- AJ Brown had 100 yards on only 4 targets (3 catches). Corey Davis had 0 catches on 3 targets. Whoever the #1 WR is on this team, they aren’t going to be dependable. After Walker’s 6 targets, the next highest target was 4 to AJ. Once we see a high target share, then maybe they’re worth investing in. But remember, this is still Mariota.
- Browns weren’t great, didn’t live up to expectations in their home opener. Got destroyed by the Titans.
- Nick Chubb and Dontrell Hilliard were sharing snaps more than we might have liked to start the game before Hilliard left because of a concussion. At one point, ESPN’s Bill Barnwell tweeted that Chubb was leading Hilliard in snaps 19-11. That’s 63%, not ideal. You wanted Chubb to be THE guy with Duke Johnson being traded away. Game was relatively close going into the 4th quarter. Hilliard also vultures a goal line TD. Ouch. Altogether, Chubb played 69% of snaps.
- OBJ had 11 targets in his debut – mostly short to intermediate catches for him only totaling 71 yards on his 7 catches. He did mention last week that he’s not 100% and can’t full-on sprint. At least he’s able to play and give you some value. It’s basically a 29% target share, which is great.
- Patrick Mahomes didn’t miss a beat. Looked amazing against a good Jaguars defense in Jacksonville.
- Damien Williams got 61% of the RB opportunities, while LeSean McCoy had 35%. 19 touches for Damien, 11 touches for McCoy. It’s very possible McCoy starts getting more work as he gets more comfortable in the offense. He’s a buy low.
- Tyreek Hill hurt his collarbone early in the game – it’s a unique injury. No surgery’s required, but will miss a few weeks. It’s possible he misses more.
- Mahomes had a test, and he just turned Sammy Watkins into Tyreek Hill, catching 9 of 11 for 198 yards and 3 TDs. Tell me you saw that coming against Jalen Ramsey and AJ Bouye. That was a long time coming of Watkins.
- With Hill out for a while, Watkins gets the biggest upgrade. Mecole Hardman might be worth a free pickup if you can. He did play a ton of snaps, but only had 1 target, no catches.
- Leonard Fournette played 86% of snaps – elite usage. He didn’t score, his QB got hurt, I’m still buying low. His 6 targets is very appealing. Caught 4 of them for 28 yards.
- Nick Foles broke his collarbone, he’s out indefinitely. Rookie 6th round pick Gardner Minshew came in for him and lit it up. 22/25 for 275 yards, 2 TD and a pick. He ended up targeting DJ Chark and Chris Conley a bunch. This hurts Dede a bit, as he might not be the target hog we thought he would be. He’s probably their best WR, but Dede and Foles did have a connection. He did throw Dede his TD.
- Lamar Jackson was absolutely ridiculous in his first game this year. Extremely efficient throwing the ball, which is not what we were used to. I would keep in mind that this is a Dolphins team that has given up before they have even started. If you have another legit starter on your team, I would sell high on Lamar if you can get back a quality RB or WR.
- Mark Ingram, Gus Edwards, Justice Hill were all involved in the game. It was a strange game to really know what the split will look like since the Ravens went up big really quick and it stayed that way. Edwards ended up having more touches than Ingram with the game getting out of hand, but Ingram was the clear lead back.
- Mark Andrews started what a lot of people think can be a breakout season for him, catching 8 of 8 targets for 108 yards and a TD. Jackson threw the ball only 20 times, so Andrews got a 35% target share from Jackson (1 target from RG3), and had almost 50% of Jackson’s completions. The other TEs were involved as well, Hurst had 4 targets, Boyle had 3 targets. So TEs made up a big part of the overall target share. I’m not sure these type of numbers continue, so if you can sell high, I would. Not say he won’t have a good season, but people tend to overreact if they can potentially get an “elite” TE.
- Marquise Brown had 4 catches for 147 yards and 2 TDs. I would proceed with caution when picking him up this week since he only played on 12 snaps. At least picking him up and actually starting him next week. Wouldn’t expect repeat performance. Might take some time. There were four other WRs who played more snaps than he did.
- The Dolphins are a dumpster fire right now, and I would not start anyone on that offense right now. Kalen Ballage took 5 carries for -1 yards. Drake had 4 carries for 12 yards, 6 touches total. So did Ballage – 6 touches total.
- Devonta Freeman: 8 carries for 19 yards along with 3 catches, so 11 touches.
- Ito Smith: 6 carries for 31 yards along with 1 catch, so 7 touches. Snap rate was basically 50/50 between the two. He got one red zone touch, Freeman didn’t get any. Part of the reason why I stayed away from Freeman, on top of his injury issues. Smith played 1 more snap than Freeman.
- If you’re worried about Thielen and Diggs, yes, this is going to be a run heavy offense as we know because of their offensive coordinator, they should have better game scripts where they need to pass the ball more. Kirk threw it only 10 times, completed the ball 8 times, and 5 of those 8 completions went to Thielen and Diggs. 2 went to Cook. So top heavy, and that’s what you want. Volume is a concern for these two WRs though. They were up 28-0 going into the 4th quarter.
- Surprise game for me to see how competitive the Redskins were. I thought they were toast.
- Chris Thompson, if he’s still on your waiver wire, should be picked up in PPR leagues. They passed the ball on 92% of the snaps he was in for, and he finished with 7 catches for 68 yards. He’s always been efficient, and if he scored, a lot more people would be paying attention. Grab him now while his price is relatively low.
- Also, the Redskins expect Derrius Guice to miss some time due to an injury to his other knee. Usually there is some compensation that’s done by other parts of the body, and to me, this is a result of them rushing him back. Looks like AP will be active once again, but Chris Thompson is the RB to own in PPR, while AP will have his game. To me, AP is a lot more interested than Guice, and looked better this preseason.
- It seemed like Case Keenum and Terry McLaurin had a pretty good rapport. Caught 5 of 7 targets for 125 yards and a TD. He played on more snaps than Paul Richardson. Him and Trey Quinn played the most amount of snaps. Keenum overthrew him on another long throw that would’ve been another TD. He looked good, and another contested catch against Ronald Darby, seems like the complete package.
- Miles Sanders is the lead back for the Eagles, but he’s fighting two other backs for playing time. Jordan Howard has been his primary competition throughout the offseason, but Darren Sproles’ role has seemingly been reserved this entire time.
- Doug Pederson’s infatuation with Sproles is well documented, but Sproles hasn’t been able to stay healthy. Sanders looked good at times in his season debut, and can gain a larger share if Sproles were to miss games. Being patient with Sanders or buying low can be beneficial in the long run, especially if this turns into a two-man backfield.
- For now, we are going to have to watch Sproles kill this backfield’s fantasy value. By the way, he out-carried Jordan Howard, even though Howard looked great in the work he got in the run game on Sunday.
- John Brown led the Bills with 10 targets, caught 7 for 123 yards including the game winner. He led the WRs in snaps as well. Definitely someone I’d be looking to pick up on waivers if he’s available.
- Cole Beasley had 9 targets, caught only 5 balls. If you’re in a deep PPR league, he might be someone to consider picking up
- Devin Singletary was the main guy in Buffalo in Week 1, TJ Yeldon didn’t see a touch in this game. Singletary had 45 snaps to Gore’s 19. 68% snap share is very healthy. I would definitely try and buy low right now. Had 6 targets, looked good with his touches.
- Leveon Bell played on 100% of snaps. That’s literally all you want. 23 touches too. Gold. 9 targets out of the backfield.
- Jamison Crowder caught a ridiculous 14 balls on 17 targets. Absolutely crazy target share, would expect that to obviously drop significantly going forward but I can see his targets hovering around 10 a week. He’s a must-add in PPR.
- Robby Anderson had multiple chances at deep balls, and Sam Darnold just didn’t catch him on time. Was late on a few throws, and overthrew him once or twice. I was at this this game, watched Robby burn his guys a few times. And by the way, he was not being shadowed by Tre’Davious White, so we can’t even blame his bad performance on that.
- Marlon Mack had 25 carries, no targets in the pass game, but the volume is great and he was able to do a lot with it, totaling 174 yards. Wish he had more work in the pass game just in case they go down, but it seems like that’s Nyheim Hines’ job.
- TY Hilton had a large majority of the target share catching 8 of 9 targets, even with the threat of Casey Hayward shadowing him. He overcame a tough matchup, Jacoby got him the ball, and now we definitely have a lot more confidence in him going forward.
- Devin Funchess broke his collarbone, so he’s out for a while. Deon Cain will likely step into that role on the outside, so he’s a name in deeper leagues to consider picking up.
- Chargers RB Snaps
- Ekeler 48/64 – 75% of snaps is great. 18 touches – 12 carries, 6 catches. 3 TDs on the day, 2 in the receiving, 1 in the run game.
- Jackson 16/64 snaps – 25% of snaps isn’t great. Only 7 touches. Ekeler’s the guy. If you can sell and get a high-end RB2 or low-end RB1 like a Chris Carson or something who you’ll likely have for the whole year, I would do that. Once Melvin is back mid-season, who knows what this backfield will look like, and we also don’t know that Ekeler has higher value all season than he does right now. So if you wait, the higher chance you’re keeping him, and the higher chance of his value going down. Or you just use him and know that he’s somewhat disposable once Melvin is back. Remember, everyone overreacts after Week 1.
- Mike Williams hurt his knee, said it tightened up.. not sure what that means, but he doesn’t expect to miss any time.
- Joe Mixon couldn’t get anything going on the ground against the Seahawks, and he did suffer an ankle injury. His MRI came in clear, and he has a good shot at playing in Week 2. Gio Bernard would be the pickup if he’s available and Mixon can’t go.
- John Ross looked legit for the Bengals – led them in targets with 12, Boyd at 11. So Boyd ended up not getting the overwhelming #1 target share. If you’re picking up Ross on the waiver wire, just know that AJ Green will be coming back in a few weeks, so Ross is a temporary option. Wouldn’t spend too much, I’ll say this when you watch the game, one TD for Ross was on a flea flicker, so kind of a tricky play, and the other TD was the safety overjumping what should’ve been either an interception or a tipped ball. He dropped a few passes, couldn’t handle the contested catches. Could be a situation where we don’t see close to a repeat performance.
- If Green comes back healthy and Ross has truly taken a step forward, then Andy Dalton is bound to put up some good numbers this year.
- Metcalf had 6 targets compared to Lockett’s 2. Really don’t understand why Lockett would only have 2 targets this entire game. He stays efficient though, caught a TD on one of those deep targets. If you don’t have many options, Lockett will likely still be in my lineup, but would be cautious and understand that we can be facing what we did last year, with Lockett not seeing volume, but staying efficient. Can he keep it up? Numbers speak against it, but he’s been performing. Metcalf is a pickup, he played pretty well totaling 89 yards on 4 catches and played on 77% of snaps.
- Chris Carson was in fact targeting a bunch in the passing game – caught 6 of 7 targets, which raises his floor like crazy. He was retlatively TD dependent last year, and now his role has become solidified. Would consider him a RB1 moving forward if he’s this involved in pass game. 22 touches altogether. Rashaad Penny touched the ball 6 times. Carson played 41 snaps to Penny’s 14. (77% to 26%)
- Kyler Murray got off to a slow start, but they finally got it together in the 4th quarter once he figured out Larry Fitzgerald was pretty damn good, led the team, in targets and catches. Caught 8 of 13 for 113 yards and a TD. Led the team in snap share with 96%. Christian Kirk saw 12 targets, caught 4 of them, so can be a buy low. Played on 93% of snaps. KeeSean Johnson saw 10 targets himself, caught 5 for 46. KeeSean has been a camp standout, and with the amount of times these guys throw the ball and the fact that all these WRs are always out there in this offense, he should be picked up as well in deeper leagues.
- David Johnson lined up as a WR a bunch in this game – 15 times. Last year, he lined up as a WR 15 times TOTAL. During his awesome 2016 year, he lined up as a WR 11.4 times per game, according to PFF’s Scott Barrett. Good times ahead for DJ.
- TJ Hockensen is legit. He had the best first game of any rookie TE ever. Was on the field for 71% of snaps. Was targeted 9 times, caught 6 for 131 and a TD. He would be one of the top adds if not the top add regardless of whether you think you need a TE or not. I’m not big on rookie TEs for fantasy because of past history, but this can be an exception to the rule.
- Can’t ignore Danny Amendola’s 13 targets, which led the team out of the slot. We know how much Stafford liked targeting the slot when he had a good slot receiver in Golden Tate, and Amendola seems to have taken that role. He caught 7 for 104 and 1 TD, and is a pickup especially in PPR leagues.
- As expected, Kerryon Johnson and CJ Anderson shared RB duties. Not only that but Ty Johnson and JD McKissic each hand a handful of snaps themselves. Kerryon had 57% of snaps with 18 touches, while Anderson played on 30% of snaps and logged 11 touches. It doesn’t seem like this coaching staff wants Kerryon’s usage to get too high, so his ceiling is obviously limited. However, 18 touches is solid, just wish he was more involved in the passing game. Only had 2 targets in this game. If he’s not going to be involved much in the pass game, he better get some goal line opportunities. If not, his ceiling is severely limited as long as Anderson is this involved.
- Out of the three middling TEs (after the big three), it seems as though Evan Engram might have been the guy to take. Engram had 14 targets, caught 11 of them for 120 yards. He was the clear #1 in this offense. He should continue to command a large target share, at least until Golden Tate comes back and the targets become less top heavy and more distributed. But this is a great sign – a TE doesn’t get 11-catch 14 target games out of nowhere.
- Dak looked great in this new look offense of Kellen Moore. Both Amari and Gallup had big days. Amari caught 6 of 9 for 106 yards and a TD. Gallup caught 7 of 7 for 158 yards.
- That being said, Gallup has looked legit all preseason, and continues to do it in the regular season. He might be available in your league, he’s mostly on teams at this point, but if he’s not, he’s my #1 add at WR this week. It’s very possible judging by the looks at how this offense operates, Dak looks comfortable, and he might be able to support two WRs.
- Jameis Winston looked absolutely terrible. Godwin led the team in targets, but only had 6. Caught 3 of them, 1 of them for a TD – so at least he saved you there.
- Mike Evans had a terrible game., catching only 2 for 28. The offense looked terrible, but he’s still a buy low candidate.
- Ronald Jones led the backfield with 13 carries for 75 yards, compared to Peyton Barber’s 8 for 33. Dare Ogunbawale was the passing down back. They all had a pretty even snap share, but Jones seems like the guy with the most upside at this point considering how he played yesterday. That says a lot coming from me, but he does look considerably better than he did last year. With Arians keeping this backfield open to the guy who steps up, even though Ogunbawale is the main pass down guy, Jones can be a RB3, and has a path to RB2 status if he starts to get more of the share. Considering how bad this offense was, Jones will likely be available for cheap on your waiver wire.
- Tevin Coleman hurt his ankle, the initial diagnosis is that he’ll miss a few weeks. There’s some more testing to do, so we’re awaiting to see how bad the injury is. Worst case scenario is probably a high ankle sprain and him missing about a month or so.
- For now, it’s going to be Matt Breida and Raheem Mostert sharing the load. Once Coleman left the game, Breida had 10 touches, Mostert had 6. Considering how easily Breida gets banged up, rostering Mostert behind him might not be a bad idea, especially after we’ve seen him also be successful in limited run last season.
- The 49ers passing offense is basically Kittle, then everyone else. No one had more than 3 targets behind Kittle’s 10. Dante Pettis only had 1 target, and played on only 2 snaps altogether. It’s a combination of not being fully healthy and him apparently not deserving to play more snaps. Deebo Samuel played the most snaps of any 49ers WR, and he’s worth a speculative add since the talent is there. Marquise Goodwin had the 2nd highest snap percentage.
- Sony Michel had 15 touches for 14 yards against the Steelers. Absolutely terrible. James White and Rex Burkhead were able to do their thing since they are historically used in a more versatile fashion – they both also caught 5 passes in this game on 15 combined targets. I’m not rushing out to get Burkhead, but it’s worth noting that if the Patriots aren’t having success running the ball, Sony will likely not be in there much longer. That being said, he’s a buy-low for me. With AB coming on, this team will have plenty of goal line opportunities, and he can be a nice beneficiary of that.
- Edelman, Gordon, Dorsett kind of showed us why AB, Edelman, and Gordon can not only co-exist but all be productive and fantasy relevant as higher-end options. Now that AB is coming to town, I would try and buy low on Gordon and Edelman. With AB there, attention will be taken off, passing volume and efficiency should go up as well. We saw how efficient they were last night. By the way, I’m not picking up Dorsett after his 2 TD night.
- Juju hurt his toe with like 30 seconds remaining in garbage time. Why he was on the field, who knows. But x-rays were negative, and he’s fine. Shouldn’t miss time.
- Juju was shadowed by Stephon Gilmore everywhere he went. Outside, slot, didn’t matter. When they got the red zone, Juju was doubled. This is what Belichick does, and it’s rare for #1 corners to shadow into the slot. I liked how much Juju moved around the formation, and it’s encouraging moving forward. He still caught 6 balls for 78 yards so not a terrible stat line considering the very tough matchup.
- Donte Moncrief is a buy low candidate. He led the team with 10 targets, but only caught 3 of 7 yards. That should increase going forward. This Patriots team plays very aggressive man to man coverage, and the Steelers couldn’t get anything going on offense. Buy him now before he starts scoring. James Washington’s 6 targets was pretty encouraging too, as we didn’t really see Ben target him much. If you’re patient with Washington, it’s possible he emerges as the 2 after Juju, but for now it’s Moncrief. By the way, Washington led the league in Week 1 in air yards.
- James Conner’s snap rate was a surprise. He only played on 46% of snaps with Samuels playing on 33%. 32 snaps to 23 snaps.
- Kamara had more of a workhorse role to start year, could be because of them going down 21-3. Either way, he’s a killer. Out-snapped Murray 75%- 28%.
- Ted Ginn clear third option ahead of Jared Cook, waiver option in deeper leagues
- Will Fuller only had 3 targets in a game in which they didn’t have Keke Coutee. The matchup on the outside against Eli Apple was a good one too.
- Carlos Hyde played an early down role, but Duke Johnson played on 66% of snaps. Dukie was the guy in the red zone, including near the goal line. Hyde looked good, line opened up holes, but if he’s not getting goal line touches, he’s not interesting even with 10-12 touches per game.
- Impressed with Raiders offensive without Antonio Brown. It’s not like he was practicing with them anyway.
- Tyrell Williams and Darren Waller are the Raiders’ passing game. With a top-heavy distribution of targets, these two are now every-week starters. Tyrell was used all over the field, including his specialty of going deep. Waller has touches manufactured for him, and is now a weekly TE start.
- Both guys need to be 100% rostered in leagues.
- Josh Jacobs is legit, can handle full workload. The game script was in his favor the entire game, and Jalen Richard wasn’t needed. When game script isn’t in his favor, that story is still untold.
- Courtland Sutton seems to be Flacco’s go-to option. He looked good, catching 7 of 8 targets. If he’s available on waivers, should be picked up. This offense sucks, but because of the ineptitude, they will have to attempt big plays to make up for it.
- Near even split between Lindsay and Freeman. Both played relatively well, Lindsay more involved in pass game.