It was a less than ideal sophomore season from Courtland Sutton in 2019. He has shown flashes of potentially growing into one of the best WRs in the league, but he had a 3-man QB carousel to deal with.
8 games with Joe Flacco: 15.07 PPR points/game on 7.62 targets/game
3 games with Brandon Allen: 12.77 PPR points/game on 8.33 targets/game
5 games with Drew Lock: 12.4 PPR points/game on 8 targets/game
Gotta give it to Sutton, as he didn’t let subpar QB play completely flatline his performances. In fact, he was a top-10 WR in terms of consistency with his overall 13.8 PPR points/game.
When you consider shadow matchups in 2019, Sutton wasn’t able to overcome for the most part. He was shut down by Tre’Davious White, Darius Slay, and Casey Hayward (in their first matchup). Sutton pulled down 2 TDs in Hayward’s coverage in their second matchup on 4 targets with Lock under center. Lock willing to chuck it to Sutton in the end zone in tough coverage is a good sign for future fantasy potential. In the five games Lock started, Sutton was tied for 2nd for most end zone targets during that span with 6.
With Pat Shurmur taking over as OC, a stab at efficiency for Lock can be expected – short, high percentage throws, and shooting for big plays on play action. He’s had relative good success with QBs in his career, and he’s had his share of successful WR1s. Shurmur would not be a reason why this duo won’t succeed.
Sutton can surely take a step forward, and so can Lock. Price matters though, so how high are you willing to draft Sutton to have a shot of those two things playing out? Does he make an ideal WR2, and are you willing to have him as your WR1 after drafting a couple of RBs?