In the first 9 weeks with Gardner Minshew under center, DJ Chark was the PPR WR12 in PPR FPPG, and ranked even higher in other formats. He’s currently being mock drafted as the WR24 – middle to end of the 5th round.
To further emphasize the chemistry, in the game Minshew returned to in Week 14, Chark caught 9 balls for 75 yards before a high ankle sprain derailed the rest of his season. He had a very healthy 24% target share over their healthy games, and was 7th in air yards during their run before Nick Foles returned. With Mike Glennon as Minshew’s backup, we won’t have to worry about Minshew Mania coming to a premature end again.
Chark’s failure to “come through” in the fantasy playoffs after having a huge year prior to it has many fantasy players tilting, but we should take advantage of the sentiment and the price associated with it.
The Jaguars might be going into 2020 with the worst defense in football, so Jay Gruden might not have a choice but to air it out late in games. Most sportsbooks have the Jaguars with the lowest win total going into next season.
Jay Gruden’s West Coast offense can give DJ Chark more opportunities downfield, and he proved successful on most vertical deep and intermediate routes, according to Matt Harmon’s Reception Perception. Gruden has also stated that he wants to run Chark in the slot more, making a chunk of his opportunity against easier coverage.
Jay Gruden was the OC for the Bengals during Andy Dalton and AJ Green’s first three years in the NFL. Green led the Bengals in targets in his rookie year, was 5th in the NFL in targets in his second year, and was 3 targets shy of the NFL lead in targets in his third year. Chark isn’t what AJ Green was, but Gruden isn’t afraid to pepper his WR1 with targets early in their career. It was made clear that Terry McLaurin was the WR1 in his first year, as well.
It’s looking good for Chark going into his third year, and he’s a big buy at his current price.