Mike Davis – Christian McCaffrey was diagnosed with a high ankle sprain, and his prognosis for missed time is 4-6 weeks. Thanks to an article cited by Dr. Edwin Porras, it shows that NFL players usually come back from a high ankle sprain within 2-3 weeks, but are still hampered for those 4-6 weeks. If this is true, you’re likely to have Davis for at least 2-3 weeks, but don’t have the expectations for 4-6. 2-3 weeks is still a long time to be able to start a waiver wire RB, especially one that is expected to play a 3-down role and rack up catches. If you’re RB needy, he’s the priority pickup as a potential top-15 RB. His matchups over the next 4 weeks: Chargers, Cardinals, Falcons, Bears… not bad at all. FAAB recommendation: 30-50%
Jerick McKinnon/Jeff Wilson – Raheem Mostert is week to week with a MCL sprain, and Tevin Coleman can also miss multiple weeks with a knee injury. This opens the door for McKinnon to get a majority of snaps in the next set of the 49ers backfield timeshare. That next set will include McKinnon, Jeff Wilson (as potential goal line back), and undrafted rookie RB JaMycal Hasty (should be promoted from practice squad). Wilson and Hasty will be the free adds once waivers clear. McKinnon has already been used a ton in the red zone while the other two backs were healthy, and was already the best pass-catching RB on the team. He might not get 15+ touches, but his touches should be efficient enough to come through as an upside RB2/flex. There’s also a good chance that he overtakes Coleman in the depth chart when Coleman is back, as Coleman has been inefficient compared to Mostert and McKinnon so far. FAAB recommendation for McKinnon: 25% FAAB recommendation for Wilson: 10%
Josh Kelley – If you’re looking for the best year long add, it’s Kelley. He had 23 carries last week and 3 carries – 26 opportunities… and that was with Austin Ekeler doing his thing as well. Does that sound like a RB who should be on waivers? Yet, he’s only 40% rostered. Kelley isn’t going to get that many opportunities per week, but 15+ touches is pretty much locked in for him as Ekeler’s complement. The bonus for Kelley is that he seems to be THE red zone back for the Chargers. Inside the 10 touches: Kelley 6, Ekeler 1. Inside the 5 touches: Kelley 5, Ekeler 0. Disclaimer: Justin Jackson has been injured since the beginning of Week 1 with a quad injury. There is no guarantee that Kelley remains Ekeler’s complement. Kelley only came into the game in Week 1 after Jackson got hurt. Kelley averaged 2.78 YPC in Week 2, so he hasn’t necessarily been efficient with the big workload given to him. Justin Jackson can be a sneaky add in the middle of the week if he ends up practicing. I would spend more on Kelley, but only if I knew that he was clearly ahead of Jackson when he returns. If Anthony Lynn is willing to keep Tyrod as the starter after what we saw out of Justin Herbert last week, it’s very possible Jackson is back as Ekeler’s complement when he’s healthy. At the same time, keep in mind that he has, potentially, the most upside as the best long term add. FAAB recommendation: 35%
Devonta Freeman, Dion Lewis – Devonta Freeman has signed with the Giants, so he most likely will be the back to own in NY. My best guess is he eventually gains control around 65% of snaps, with Lewis working the rest. Freeman is a capable pass catcher, and that’s where you hope he has a big role. He’s a bit washed in the run game, and his offensive line isn’t going to do him any favors. There’s a good chance he returns RB2 value, but the upside is limited. If you’re ok with a borderline RB2/flex, Freeman should be fine. I don’t want to spend too much on him, but you’re going to have to spend a good amount if you want him. If he ends up with a 3-down role eventually, you probably got a good deal. FAAB recommendation on Freeman: 35% Lewis: 5%
Darrell Henderson – Henderson had a great week, but it’s going to be a mixed bag in the Rams backfield. Cam Akers started the game, and got hurt while in the red zone. Malcolm Brown had 61% of snaps compared to Henderson’s 29% in the first half, and then Brown hurt his finger and was limited in the second half. Henderson had 3 carries and 1 targets in the first half. Henderson had some pep in his step, but this will be a split with three guys when everyone’s healthy. It’s possible Akers is out in Week 3, so Henderson is an upside flex play if he’s out. Is there upside for Henderson to be the 1a in this backfield? Yes, if he continues to show out while Akers is out. FAAB recommendation: 10%
Myles Gaskin – Gaskin should be picked up in PPR leagues; he only had 7 carries (so did Matt Breida, Jordan Howard had 5), but he also had 7 targets, and caught 6 of them for 36 yards. He caught 4 of 4 targets in Week 1 as well… so this type of usage in the passing game makes him fantasy relevant in PPR leagues. 12-team leagues is where I would roster him, or in competitive 10-team leagues with a deep benches. He played on 65% of snaps, so that’s pretty legit. Potential year-long asset. FAAB recommendation: 10-15%
Chase Edmonds – Edmonds had 6 touches, but is pretty involved in the Cardinals offense. He was a wide open target in the end zone in Week 2, but was overthrown. He already scored once in Week 1, so he does have a role in the red zone. He also is one of the best handcuffs in the league, so it doesn’t hurt for him to be on your bench. FAAB recommendation: $1, or try to get for free.
Benny Snell – James Conner was back as the workhorse, but there’s no doubt that he’s one of the most fragile starting RBs on one of the best offenses to be a RB on. Snell should be on benches to be prepared for the moment Conner goes down. I hate to try and predict injury, and I’m not doing that here, but Conner already got hurt a few snaps into Week 1. I don’t want to fight for Snell on waivers if that happens. FAAB recommendation: $1, or try to get for free.
Damien Harris – Harris was killing it in camp before he got hurt. He should be ready to go once off IR after Week 3, and given how bad Sony Michel has looked, and the fact that Rex Burkhead played on 71% of snaps on Sunday night, there’s a potential job to be filled in that backfield. He’s a nice stash, especially given how good the Patriots offense has looked with Cam Newton under center. FAAB recommendation: 5% in competitive leagues, or try and get for free otherwise
Robby Anderson – Anderson went over 100 yards twice and has averaged 10 targets and 7.5 catches in two games. He needs to be 100% rostered. Remember, he’s no longer being coached by Adam Gase. He’s the true #2 to DJ Moore, as Curtis Samuel’s targets went all the way down to 2 in Week 2. Anderson has a tough matchup against the Chargers, but he definitely has the better matchup between him and Moore. This is a pass-heavy offense, so Anderson continuing to get volume is not out of the realm of possibility. He’s at least a WR3 at this point with every-week WR2 upside. FAAB recommendation: 30%-50% depending on how badly you need a WR.
Russell Gage – Russell Gage might not get 9+ targets every week like he has over the last two weeks on a team with Julio, Ridley, and Hurst also deserving of targets, but he’s still a WR3/flex play for now, especially in PPR leagues. This is an offense that will pass the ball a ton, and Gage has actually averaged 8 targets/game since Mohamed Sanu was traded last season. He should’ve been added last week after catching 9 of 12 for 114 yards, but he’s still available in 23% of teams on Yahoo. FAAB recommendation: 15-20%
Brandin Cooks – Cooks had a great game in a very tough matchup; caught 5 of 8 targets for 95 yards against the Ravens. Now that Will Fuller has a hamstring injury, he needs to be picked up and started even in a tough matchup against the Steelers. FAAB recommendation: 20%
Keelan Cole – Cole led the Titans in targets in Week 2, but only had 7. Still, he’s been efficient; caught 5 of 5 with a TD in Week 1 and 6 of 7 and a TD in Week 2. The yardage hasn’t been there; averaging 53 yards. The Dolphins might be out Byron Jones on Thursday, so as rest of coverage shifts towards DJ Chark, Cole might be left with a great matchup. He’s a flex play this week if you really need a start. FAAB recommendation: 5%
Curtis Samuel – Samuel received 4 carries on top of his 2 carries last week. He’s a speculative add to get some work while McCaffrey is out. FAAB recommendation: Free.
N’Keal Harry – Harry had 12 targets from Cam Newton on Sunday night, he caught 8 of them for 79 yards; think of his role with Newton as a better version of Kelvin Benjamin. There is potential here for him to be a WR3. FAAB recommendation: 8%
DeSean Jackson – Jackson saw 9 targets in Week 2 and caught 6 of them after he saw 7 targets in Week 1. He has a great matchup against Cincinnati at home in Week 3, so he’s a potential streamer for you if you need an upside play who is getting enough targets for a decent floor. FAAB recommendation: 10%
Tre’Quan Smith – Smith was 2nd to Alvin Kamara in targets with Michael Thomas out with 7, but he caught 5 for 86 yards and looked pretty good. If MT misses again, it’s Smith and not Emmanuel Sanders, who had a terrible game and hurt his team more than his meager stat line. FAAB recommendation: 5% if you have Michael Thomas.
Preston Williams – The Dolphins WRs had tough matchups in Weeks 1 and 2, so Williams is being overlooked right now. He caught a 2-pt conversion this past week, which to me, is an end zone target. He sees Jacksonville on Thursday night, and it’s possible that he has a big game. Would try and get him cheap now. FAAB recommendation: 5%
Golden Tate – Without Saquon Barkley and Sterling Shepard as well over the next few weeks potentially, Golden Tate should be viable as a PPR flex play until Shepard is back. FAAB recommendation: Try to get for free.
Allen Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling – Another 7 targets for MVS, another 5 for Lazard. MVS is an upside flex play while Davante Adams is healthy. Otherwise, I wouldn’t play him if the primary coverage is on him. Lazard is playing on every down with Davante Adams, and I would pfefer to play Lazard over MVS if Adams is out. FAAB recommendation: Try to get either for free, preferably Lazard.
Adam Humphries – With AJ Brown potentially missing another week, Humphries as PPR flex play in a deep league. FAAB recommendation: Free.
Laviska Shenault Jr – Shenault saw 5 carries behind James Robinson and took those carries for 37 yards in addition to 4 targets through the air as a WR. His usage went up from Week 1 to Week 2, so he remains a stash. FAAB recommendation: 5%
Corey Davis – Davis remains a flex play with AJ Brown potentially out again this week. He has a great matchup against Minnesota – he’s in the low-end WR3 range. FAAB recommendation: 3%
Brandon Aiyuk – He’s still a stash after making his debut last week. He didn’t play a huge role, but the 49ers don’t have many weapons. He had a big training camp, and can splash at any point. FAAB recommendation: Free.
Michael Pittman – Pittman received 6 targets last week after Parris Campbell went down with an injury, and he becomes the defacto #2 WR for the Colts. With TY Hilton not playing great, Pittman might have to step up into a big role. FAAB recommendation: 5%
Jalen Reagor – Reagor is going to get opportunity this season, and he looks good. He caught all 4 of his targets for 41 yards against the Rams, and as the Eagles get better, Reagor can get better as well. He looks great in his limited opportunities. FAAB recommendations: Free, stash.
KJ Hamler – With Courtland Sutton out for the year, Hamler is a prospective add this week. He saw 7 targets in his season debut, and will get opportunity going forward. Doesn’t have huge upside without Drew Lock, but he’s a good player. Him and Jerry Jeudy will be the primary WRs for the Broncos going forward. He has a ton of speed, and played a ton out of the slot. FAAB recommendation: Free, stash.
Mike Gesicki – If he’s available in your league, pick up Gesicki. He looked great in his breakout game. He caught 8 of 11 targets for 130 yards and a TD. I was high on him coming into this year because of the big slot role he plays in the Chan Gailey offense, and we already saw the big game happen in Week 2. He can be an every week start for you this year, with upside for more. FAAB recommendation: 15%
Jonnu Smith – We want the targets to go up just a bit, but it’s not bad, and I’m not complaning. He scored 3 TDs in 2 games, so he’s an every-week TE1 right now. Him and Gesicki are the top 2 pickups at the position if available. FAAB recommendation: 15%
Dalton Schultz – Schultz caught 9 of 10 targets for 88 yards and a TD in Week 2, but I’m not convinced he’ll be as involved every single week. He’s worth rostering if you’re in a deep league and the rest of the big names are taken, especially if you want to attempt at getting a guy who you can start every week. FAAB recommendation: 1-3%
Jordan Reed – It’s possible George Kittle is out again, and Jordan Reed stepped in after a great training camp and caught 2 TDs on 8 targets last week. Eric Ebron and Jimmy Graham couldn’t do much against the Giants over the last two weeks, but they didn’t get a ton of opportunity. Reed is a borderline TE1 with obvious upside this week. FAAB recommendation: 1-3%
Mo Alie-Cox – I’m going to call him Mo. Mo started for Jack Doyle, and he caught 5 of 6 targets for 111 yards last week. With Parris Hilton out, there is opportunity for a 2nd target to emerge behind TY Hilton, so if Doyle is out again, Alie-Cox is a legit streamer against the Jets; they just allowed 2 TDs to Jordan Reeed last week.
Logan Thomas – Thomas saw 9 targets in Week 2 after seeing 8 in Week 1. It hasn’t quite come together in terms of catches and yards, but it’ll get there if he keeps getting this type of opportunity. Against Cleveland, Drew Sample and CJ Uzomah combined for 11 catches for 87 yards and a TD in Week 2, and Mark Andrews caught 5 for 58 yards and 2 TDs in Week 1. He has a chance to shine this week.
Gardner Minshew vs Miami – He’s going to have to continue to throw the ball, he has some decent weapons, and he has a great matchup on Thursday night. Miami might also be without Byron Jones, so that’s a big upgrade to his WRs. Two straight 3 TD games with the ability to run the ball, and he could potentially be a year long guy as well. He has Cincinnati in Week 4 as well.
Ryan Tannehill @ Minnesota- Tannehill is just continuing to do with he did last year. He sees a Minnesota defense that has no secondary. Even with AJ Brown out last week, Tannehill still got it done. I wasn’t willing to start him, but he proved me wrong with the other weapons he does have. He could be without Brown again, but that seems to be okay.
Ryan Fitzpatrick @ Jacksonville – All of his weapons finally have good matchups, so expect Fitzpatrick to sling it and get it done for you in fantasy.
Mitch Trubisky @ Atlanta – Trubisky is boom/bust, but this is a cake matchup for him.
Joe Burrow @ Philadelphia – Burrow looks good enough as a rookie and has enough weapons to get it done against Philadelphia, even with AJ Green getting shadow coverage from Darius Slay.
Buy lows: Julio Jones, Allen Robinson, Derrick Henry, Mike Evans, Robert Woods, Marquise Brown, Nyheim Hines, Antonio Gibson, Brandin Cooks, Joshua Kelley.
Note on sell highs: Selling a player high doesn’t mean a player can’t be great this year. It mostly means to take advantage of a strong week that is less likely to re-occur. And you likely won’t be able to do that later; this is your window. Do not get too emotionally attached to a huge performance.
Sell highs: Kareem Hunt, Julian Edelman, James Conner, Joshua Kelley (yes, he’s a sell to those who overvalue him, and a buy when you can get him for cheap), Russell Gage.