Note on FAAB recommendations: These are just estimates, and every league is different. You can get an idea on how much I want to add a player by how much FAAB I am recommending, but understand that you know your league, and you know how much you need to spend if you really need a player. If you don’t necessarily need a player, but can potentially use him, then go with these recommendations to not over or under-value according to my scale.
All of these pickups are players rostered around 55% or less on Yahoo.
Matt Breida/DeAndre Washington – Myles Gaskin has a MCL injury, and will likely be placed on IR and miss three weeks at the very least. Breida most likely becomes the guy in that backfield… whether he gets the passing down work like Gaskin did remains to be seen. Breida has had injury troubles in his career, but if he’s the guy, he can potentially see 15+ touches while Gaskin is out. FAAB recommendation: 20-25%
Zack Moss – Both Zack Moss and Devin Singletary had equal opportunity this week (14 carries, 1 target each). Moss had the obvious better day for fantasy with his 2 TDs, but let’s look a little deeper. Moss out-snapped Singletary 31-24, not counting kneel-downs (total was actually 53% to 48% in Moss’ favor), and he played 64% of the snaps compared to Singletary’s 36% in the first half. Both are sharing passing down duties, and Moss ran 1 more route than Singletary this week.
Moss was also the clear red zone guy. 6 total red zone touches for Moss, 1 for Singletary. 2 inside-the-10 touches for Moss, 0 for Singletary. Resulted in 2 TDs for Moss.
This type of usage lines up with how the Bills were using Moss to start the year, so it’s encouraging that it seems like they had a clear plan for him. He can be a RB2 moving forward if this usage continues. FAAB recommendation: 20%
Justin Jackson/Troymaine Pope – Justin Jackson was the main back for the Chargers this week, leading them out of the gate. He saw 4 carries and 3 targets in the first half, but Troymaine Pope (who?) came in and had 8 opportunities himself ahead of Josh Kelley’s 5.
Jackson led the team with 17 carries for 89 yards along with 3 catches on 5 targets for 53 yards. He played on 41 snaps. Pope played 25 snaps, and Kelley played 21 snaps.
Jackson will likely be the 1a while Ekeler is out, and that means a lot for the Chargers, who want to be as run heavy as possible whenever possible. There’s also a good chance that he’s Ekeler’s 1b when he’s back.
With Pope’s usage ahead of Kelley, he’s worth a prospective add, especially in PPR leagues. FAAB recommendation: Jackson 25%, Pope 5-8%
JaMycal Hasty – Tevin Coleman re-aggraved the same knee that kept him out; the chances he plays this Thursday is slim, in my opinion, until we hear more news. Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson are both on IR, so that leaves Hasty and McKinnon. McKinnon went back to his early-season role as the passing down back, and Hasty took over for Coleman last week as the primary runner. The Packers happen to be a great matchup for the 49ers, so Hasty is a great spot start at the very least. If he does well, it’s possible he continues to get work over the next couple of weeks depending on the health of the rest of their RBs; they also might keep Mostert out through their Week 11 bye. If you need a RB, this is a scheme that you want a part of, even if it’s short term. FAAB recommendation: 15-20%
DeeJay Dallas/Travis Homer – When you look at the injuries surround the Seahawks backfield, and don’t consider Pete Carroll and his words around the injuries, you can consider them multiple week injuries. Chris Carson has a mid-foot sprain, apparently, which can be a multi-week injury. Same with Carlos Hyde’s hamstring injury, and same with Travis Homer’s knee contusion, even though Homer did suit up… he received one touch. The fact that Homer was active, though, makes him a guy you can likely grab for cheap under the radar in case he’s healthy enough to be the guy next week for the Seahawks. Dallas wasn’t amazing, he was just a guy last week, and Homer has played well ahead of him, and was good enough to take Chris Carson off the field in a lot of scenarios. These two would be pick-ups in case Carson can’t go. FAAB recommendation: Dallas 15%, Homer 5-10% (depending on your league)
Gus Edwards – Both Edwards and JK Dobbins had 16 carries; both did well, JK did better. JK also had more snaps than Edwards, but Edwards was involved throughout, and the got the lone goal line carry. Tough matchup this week, but Mark Ingram is probably out once again. 15+ touches is probably in the cards for Edwards this week, but he’ll likely be a low-end RB2 because of the tough matchup. FAAB recommendation: 10-15%
Jordan Wilkins – Jordan Wilkins opened the second half of Week 8 as the first RB on the field, and it continued throughout. Jonathan Taylor was in on 50% of the snaps in the first half, but he only saw one touch in the second, with Wilkins out-touching him 14-1. Phillip Rivers spilled the beans after the game in a post-game interview, saying that Wilkins and Hines stepped up with Taylor “nicked up.” On Monday, Frank Reich revealed that Taylor does have an ankle injury, but he didn’t know about it until after the game… the latter I don’t necessarily believe given how the situation played out. I don’t think Wilkins will be taking over this backfield, but the ankle issue can limit Taylor in the near future. For that reason, I’ll only be spending up if I desperately need a RB play this week, because this can easily turn into a Taylor-led RBBC once again. Remember, they have Baltimore this week, so it’s not the greatest matchup in the world. However, if things work out a certain way, Tennessee, Green Bay, Houston, Las Vegas, Houston… sounds kinda nice. FAAB recommendation: 10%
Tyler Ervin/Dexter Williams – Who? AJ Dillon tested positive for COVID-19 from his Sunday morning test, and Jamaal Williams has been disqualified from playing on Thursday night because he is considered as a close-contact individual. If Aaron Jones isn’t cleared for this game, the Packers will be down to Tyler Ervin, and they will likely promote Dexter Williams from their practice squad. The way I think this situation can play out with these two is that Williams takes the role as the primary RB, while Ervin continues his role as the motion RB in this offense. This will be all for naught if Aaron Jones is ready. FAAB recommendation: Ervin 3%, Williams 10%
Damien Harris – I’m not actively looking to pick up Harris, but he’s usable in a 12-team PPR league as a TD dependent flex. He consistently sees less snaps than both James White and Rex Burkhead, and while he saw 16 carries this week, he combined for 16 the two weeks prior. With him not involved in the pass game, he’s tough to start outside of non-PPR leagues. If you have Harris, I would sell after this good game if possible. FAAB recommendation: 5%
Malcolm Brown/Cam Akers – These guys have a bye this week, but Darrell Henderson hurt his thigh this past week. No word on the extent of his injury, but keeping one of these two or both on your bench until Week 10 can be worth it if you really need some RBs to start. There’s also a good chance Henderson returns. Brown is the back I would prefer if Henderson misses time. I can see Akers and Brown alternating series with Akers getting the Henderson-lite role, but Brown will be the passing down and hurry-up back. The Rams run a hurry-up series a couple times a game outside of 2-minute situations, and those are usually Brown’s drives, including potential red zone work associated with them. Still, Akers can potentially see 15 touches or so if Henderson misses, and that’s worth something in this offense. FAAB recommendation: Brown 7-10%, Akers 5%
Brian Hill – He’s more of a stash; he was very involved last Thursday night, out-touched by Gurley 18-13… pretty close. If you have Gurley, that’s a little too close for comfort. It’s also possible that they didn’t want Gurley to get too many touches in these two games only four days apart. What’s noticeable is that Hill looks better than Gurley, but it might take a lot for Gurley to lose his job as the primary RB. FAAB recommendation: 1%
Sterling Shepard – Shepard saw 8 and 10 targets over the last 2 weeks, and has stepped into the #1 possession receiver role for that span. He’s looking like a legit WR3 moving forward. FAAB recommendation: 15-20%
Marvin Jones – Kenny Golladay will be out this week and potentially more. Marvin Jones had two opportunities to get it done without Golladay in Weeks 1 and 2, but he underwhelmed in a big way. Looking back, maybe can give him the benefit of doubt going against Chicago and Green Bay – two tougher matchups. This week, he sees a Minnesota team giving up the 4th most fantasy points to perimeter WRs coming into last week, and then we had Davante Adams score 3 TDs against them this past week. Jones is coming off a 2 TD day himself, so he’ll be a WR2. FAAB recommendation: 15-20%
Corey Davis – Corey Davis had 10 targets over the last 2 weeks, he’s caught 3 TDs over the last 2 weeks, and has had at least 69 yards or a TD in every game he has played this season. He’s missed two games, and if you look at the 5 weeks he played, he was the overall WR11. He shouldn’t be on waivers. FAAB recommendation: 20%
Mike Williams – His targets came out of nowhere last week, after seeing only 3 the week prior in a great matchup which happened to be competitive against the Jaguars. But when he gets targets, there’s no doubt he makes it happen. He’s a bit boom/bust, but his boom is worth rostering. Use him when you need him. FAAB recommendation: 15%
Christian Kirk – You won’t know what kind of volume Kirk is going to get any given week, but he has a knack of finding the end zone (5 TDs in 4 weeks, 2 TDs each of the last 2 games). Dolphins have been good on the perimeter, but Robert Woods was able to find success this past week. Keep in mind that the two games where Kirk caught his 2 TDs was against Dallas and Seattle, so temper expectations. FAAB recommendation: 5%
Randall Cobb – If you need a spot start this week, picking on the Jaguars using slot WRs is a good idea. The Jaguars gave up the 2nd most fantasy points to slot WRs coming into Week 7 (their last game), and Cobb is coming off a 10-target game. He’ll be a PPR flex play this week. FAAB recommendation: 7%
Keelan Cole/Laviska Shenault – These two didn’t have great games last week, but it’s possible we see some changes in target distribution with a new QB under center this week for the Jaguars. For a team that will need to pass a lot late in games, it might be worth keeping these guys (preferably Shenault) on your bench to see how the target distribution plays out. FAAB recommendation: 3-5%
Allen Lazard – Lazard will be coming off IR soon; he was already designated to return, so he’ll be back sometime in the next week or two. Lazard has shown rapport with Rodgers, and Rodgers has shown zero willingness to target any other WR outside of Davante Adams since Lazard has been out. He’s a good stash until we see him play. FAAB recommendation: 7-10%
Cole Beasley – Another great spot start this week against Seattle. He underwhelmed last week, but Beasley has been basically in double digits e very week in full PPR formats. He goes against Seattle; he’s a WR3. FAAB recommendation: 10%
Curtis Samuel – Samuel hasn’t received a ton of volume through the air, and his fantasy value has been coming through his rushing TDs over the last two weeks. With McCaffrey back, I’m not overly excited to have him on my roster, especially given the fact that he’s likely not going to see much of those anymore with McCaffrey back. FAAB recommendation: 1-2%
Darnell Mooney – The Bears are going up against Tennessee, so in a good matchup, Mooney is a good boom/bust play. Tennessee has given up the most fantasy points/game to perimeter WRs over the last 4 games coming into Week 8. With a lot of attention going towards Allen Robinson, Mooney can see some one on one opportunities. He’s a boom/bust spot start. FAAB recommendation: 3%
Jalen Reagor – Eagles are on a bye this week, so you can probably get him for cheap. He didn’t absolutely light it up against Dallas, but it was his first game back, and his third game in the NFL. His 6 targets ended up being a healthy 22% target share, with Wentz only throwing the ball 27 times this past week, his lowest of the season. The bye should help him out, and then he has the Giants, Browns, and Seahawks… great matchups. With the Eagles having a legit WR on the other side, Reagor should see some single coverage, and it’s up to Carson Wentz to take advantage of those situations. Reagor is a great talent, has a lot of speed, and can break out in the second half of the year. FAAB recommendation: 5-10%
Tim Patrick – Patrick might be ready to come off his hamstring injury, and if he does, he’s set up for a great matchup against Atlanta. He will be ranked as a WR3 if he’s available. FAAB recommendation: 3-5%
Rashard Higgins – You can hold him through your bye if you have the room for a good matchup against Houston in Week 10. He will likely take the OBJ role, which is an important role in this offense, especially on highly efficient play action passes downfield. Don’t expect volume, but efficiency is where it would happen for Higgins, if it does. FAAB recommendation: 2%
Marvin Hall – With the Lions going up against Minnesota, Hall is an boom/bust flex play because of the matchup in Golladay’s absence. FAAB recommendation: 1% or free
Tight End Pickups
Lance Thomas – Thomas caught 2 TDs over the last 2 weeks, and Gronk just caught his TD and had a good game against the Giants on Monday night. If you need a TE, he’s a solid streamer.
Jordan Reed/Ross Dwelley – Reed is probably the TE pickup of the week considering the George Kittle news. Reed saw 8 and 6 targets in his last 2 games without Kittle, and the target share to TEs in this offense has been high with and without Kittle. There isn’t a guarantee Reed comes off IR this week, but my guess is that he does after being designated to return. Dwelley would be the guy if Reed doesn’t go this week, but keep in mind that Reed might not run a full complement of snaps in his first game back.
Eric Ebron – Ebron is averaging 6 targets over the past 5 games, so he’s an integral part of the Steelers offense. He’s going up against Dallas this week; that’s all that needs to be said.
Darren Fells – Keep an eye on Jordan Akins’ status, but if he’s out, Fells has a great matchup. Jacksonville is giving up the 5th most fantasy points to TEs.
Austin Hooper – He has a bye this week, but he’s one of the best long term pickups of this group.
Jimmy Graham – Graham is averaging 7 targets over the last 3 games, and while a lot of production didn’t come from it, you might be in dire straights this week.
Cam Newton vs NYJ – If there’s a game where Cam comes back from, it’s against the Jets.
Nick Foles vs Tennessee – Foles had some tough matchups over the last several weeks, but Tennessee is one where he can hit his ceiling.
Drew Lock @ Atlanta – Atlanta’s secondary is banged up, and it’s possible Lock has Tim Patrick back this week and be at full strength.
Washington vs NYG
Green Bay vs SF
Arizona vs Miami
NYG @ Washington
Houston @ Jacksonville