Both Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool are destined for great 2021 seasons, especially with Juju Smith-Schuster most likely leaving in free agency.
Johnson was a target magnet, and ended the season in the top-5 in terms of targets/game. His average depth of target, however, was at 8 yards, while Claypool’s was at 13.2 – which led the team. Johnson will get his receptions, and will likely maintain a very high floor in PPR leagues, but Claypool might have more upside.
A little preview to a post I’ll be releasing later this week week, but Claypool was 2nd among all rookie WRs in yards/route run with 2.00… second only to Justin Jefferson.
Based on a study done by John Bauer of Fantasy Pros over a 9-year period, WRs who hit a threshold of 2.00 yards/route run with at least 250 routes run like Claypool has, 92% of them have had at least one WR1 season in their career. Can that happen in 2021? Might want to take that shot while Claypool is the cheapest he might be for years.