David Montgomery had a lot going for him last season.
One of those things was Bill Lazor taking over play calling duties in Week 12 of last season, which happens to be exactly when Montgomery started to take off and won a lot of people their leagues. He averaged 5 YPC over those last 6 games compared to 3.6 YPC prior to that. As a matter of fact, Montgomery only reached 4.0 YPC in 3 games up until that point. Lazor has a history of getting the run game going, so this makes a lot of sense.
With Matt Nagy calling plays again, we can’t expect Montgomery to prosper based on what he was doing pre-Lazor, unless he gets the type of raw opportunity he was getting in Tarik Cohen’s absence last season.
With Cohen back this season, we should expect him to have a significant role in the backfield, specifically in the form of 30-40% of snaps and the majority of pass-catching work.
Damien Williams being added to this group doesn’t help, because he’s not only an insurance policy for Cohen in the pass game, but he can potentially see some work even while both backs are healthy.
It’s also important not to overvalue his late season stretch – those matchups were cake. At the same time, we can’t discredit Lazor, because we never had confidence in Montgomery prior to that stretch… even in easy matchups.
Would you be ok with Montgomery as your RB2? Despite the Bears adding Justin Fields, I wouldn’t.