I’m not going crazy for Michael Carter in dynasty leagues, but I do think he has a chance to be fantasy relevant as a rookie.
Outside of Najee Harris, does any rookie RB have less competition than he does? Tevin Coleman, Ty Johnson, La’Mical Perine, and Josh Adams are the four backs he’ll be competing with.
He won’t be an every-down back by any means, but ~15 touches is in the realm of possibility for him. If a big chunk of that comes in the pass game, we’re looking at a fantasy RB2.
When you look at the scheme fit, Carter fits perfectly. OC Mike LaFleur is bringing the outside zone run scheme to New York, which is something Carter has done a lot of before becoming pro. He was much more effective on zone runs in each of his four years at North Carolina, per @sportsinfosolutions.
He has vision, makes guys miss routinely, gains more yards after contact than you would think at his size (3rd in nation in YAC/attempt in 2020 among RBs with 150+ attempts), and is a very impressive receiver as well (5th in yards/route run among RBs with 30+ targets).
Here’s what HC Robert Saleh had to say about Carter: “Michael’s got tremendous vision, he’s got tremendous speed, burst. He’s got the ability to make people miss… He’s good on third down coming out of the backfield in the passing game, and he’s pretty stout in protection.”
With the Jets’ improvements on the offensive line, a new offensive system coming in, a new young QB and weapons, maybe this is an offense we should start paying attention to for fantasy purposes.
If Carter’s price stays near the double-digit rounds, he’ll definitely be on my radar in full PPR leagues.