You can choose to avoid the Jets’ WR situation because of the ambiguity of target distribution, but with all of these WRs being taken after the 10th round in 12-team PPR leagues, you might as well shoot your shot.
Both Corey Davis and Jamison Crowder have the ability to lead the Jets in targets, but do they have Top-15 upside?
Keelan Cole is getting work with the 1s in OTAs, and while he’s an underrated WR, he likely won’t be out-targeting Davis and Crowder.
With Crowder back after re-working his contract, many feel as though that was a death sentence for Elijah Moore, but it might actually become a blessing in disguise with of his price dropping as a result.
Moore isn’t just a slot receiver; while Crowder and Davis was off the field in OTAs, Moore played on the outside with Braxton Berrios moving to the slot. That’s not experimentation, but it’s knowing that Moore is capable of handling that role.
There is a possibility that Moore actually becomes one of the Jets’ Top-3 WRs come Week 1. Denzel Mims is off to a slow start, and the only other player he’d have to beat out is Keelan Cole.
Moore has been the best player in Jets OTAs and minicamp – as a rookie, and it’s not a surprise.
Moore has been underrated after being labeled a slot WR when in reality, he has had tremendous success in overall separation and against man coverage. According to @mattharmon_byb’s Reception Perception, his success rate against man in college is in the Devonta Smith range… and we know what kind of separator Smith is.
The thing that impressed me the most about Moore in college was the fact that he produced all over the field out of the slot. In 2020, he was Top-10 in air yards, 5th in 20+ yard catches, and 4th in deep ball yards (20+ yards).
He was 2nd only behind Devonta Smith in yards/route run among WRs in this draft class. He was 2nd only behind Smith in contested catches as well.
He broke out at 19 with a 30%+ dominator rating, and then 46% last season.
He has open field ability, he’s tough, he makes contested catches… I don’t want to miss out on a potential big splash in the NFL, so I’ll likely be taking a shot on him in the teen rounds.