The new run scheme being installed in New York is based on Kyle Shanahan’s proven system. The outside zone run will be the staple of the Jets’ running game, and the fact that two former 49ers offensive coaches (Mike LaFleur and former OL coach John Benton) will help implement that in New York means a lot.
The Jets have revamped their offensive line to make the scheme successful. First-round rookie Alijah Vera-Tucker has a chance of solidifying the left side of the line alongside Mekhi Becton. Expect a lot of outside zone runs to the left in 2021 as a result.
They’ve also recently signed Morgan Moses to help the right side out – he was the 2nd best run-blocking tackle in 2020, according to PFF.
The best bet might be to take the cheapest viable Jets RB in 2021 drafts – and that’s Ty Johnson. Johnson did well in spurts last season, had a good college career, fits the run scheme, has impressed coaches at minicamp, and has a shot to finish at the top of the depth chart as a Mostert-like back who can take it to the house on any play.
Tevin Coleman is being taken at the end of drafts, but we saw what he could do in Shanahan’s scheme with a very good offensive line last year – it didn’t work. I am not expecting it to work in New York.
Michael Carter’s talent leaps off the page, but it’s possible he isn’t used as a lead back. If you want to bet on Carter, you will have to spend relatively significant draft capital (6th/7th round) on a potential revolving backfield. Can it pay off? It can, but Carter would have to defy some heavy odds.
I love Carter as a talent, he was still drafted in the 4th round – history shows that RBs drafted in the 4th or later don’t have tremendous success in terms of fantasy. There are definitely outliers, and my heart wants Carter to be one of them, but I will be distributing my shares of Jets RBs between Carter and Johnson.
Are you willing to take a shot on Ty Johnson with your last pick? He can very well be the back to roster in 2021.