Sam LaPorta (TE1 - DET)
I don’t want to be the first to take a TE off the board. I think someone like Trey McBride has as much as a chance, maybe even more, to finish as the overall TE1 this year. Travis Kelce can have that title, Mark Andrews can have that title, so I rather pair one of these other TEs slightly later in drafts with whoever I pick when I’m faced with the decision to draft LaPorta - who’s going really early - end of the 3rd on Underdog and in the 2nd round on Sleeper. I’m passing.
Josh Jacobs (RB12 - GB)
Jacobs wasn’t good last year, and he’s being drafted assuming that he’s going to be the Packers workhorse. I would be in on this if he didn’t show potential signs of declines with his extreme inefficiencies. Marshawn Lloyd is young and is a very good prospect, and at the very least I think he challenges him for a role. We already know Packers HC Matt LaFleur likes his 1-2 punches, and now he has a huge upgrade over AJ Dillon in Marshawn Lloyd.
C.J. Stroud (QB6 - HOU)
Listen, I know CJ Stroud has the weapons. I know he has the system. But going off the board before Trey McBride and Mark Andrews? Before James Cook? Before high upside WRs like Cooper Kupp and DK Metcalf? He doesn’t run the ball. He’s a pocket passer. And unless I’m in a 6 point per passing TD league, the positional advantage most likely won’t be there. The only way it can be there in a traditional 4-pt passing TD format is if he throws for like 5000 yards and 40+ TDs. Can he get there? Absolutely. But is there a solid chance he doesn’t? Yes. I rather wait and grab other pocket passers at a discount - guys like Joe Burrow, Brock Purdy and Jordan Love a little later - and you still have a rushing QB on the board in Jayden Daniels paired with Kliff Kingsbury.